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Understanding Extreme Geohazards: The Science of the Disaster Risk Management Cycle
European Science Foundation Conference
November 28 to December 1, 2011, Sant Feliu de Guixols, Spain
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CONFERENCE PROGRAMME
Sunday, November 27, 2011
1600 - 1830: | Arrival/Registration |
1930 - 2000: | Welcome Drinks |
2000 - 2130: | Dinner |
Monday, November 28, 2011
0900 - 1045: | Opening Session. Co-Chairs: Stuart Marsh and Hans-Peter Plag |
0900 - 0905: | Hans-Peter Plag: Opening (text; video) |
0905 - 0925: | ESF (Paola Campus) : The European Science Foundation (presentation; video) |
0925 - 0935: | UNESCO (Robert Missotten): Welcoming address (video of the welcoming notes) |
0935 - 0945: | GEO (Francesco Gaetani): Welcoming address (address) |
0945 - 0955: | ICSU (Jane Rovins) : Welcoming address (address) |
0955 - 1000: | IGCP 585 (Roger Urgeles): Welcoming address (text) |
1000 - 1045: | Keynote Seth Stein, Robert Geller, Mian Liu: Bad Assumptions or Bad Luck: Why Natural Hazard Maps Fail and What To Do About It? (Abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
1445 - 1600: | Session 2: Preparing for the extreme: quantifying the probabilities and uncertainties of extreme hazards. Co-Chairs: Roger Urgeles and Daniela Pantosti |
1445 - 1520: | Invited Ivan Wong: How Big, How Bad, How Often: Are Extreme Events Accounted for in Modern Seismic Hazard Analyses? (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
1520 - 1550: | Invited Carl Bonnevie Harbitz: Tsunamis caused by submarine landslides (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
1550 - 1600: | Discussion: How can science better address the uncertainties of the extreme events? See Questions/Statements. |
1630 - 1800: | Session 3: Preparing for the extreme: costs of preparation versus costs of disasters. Co-Chairs: Alik Ismail-Zadeh and Robert Muir-Wood |
1630 - 1700: | Invited Gero Michel: Understanding and Managing Extreme Event Risk: The Insurance Industry (abstract; presentation, pptx; video)
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1700 - 1720: | Maria Bostenaru Dan: The economic impact of seismic retrofit on heritage buildings with historic reinforced concrete skeleton structure of the interwar time (abstract; presentation, ppt; video)
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1720 - 1740: | Shelley-Ann Jules-Plag and Hans-Peter Plag: Are building codes consistent with our evolving knowledge of geohazards? (abstract; presentation,ppt; video)
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1740 - 1800: | Youcef Bouhadad: Occurrence and impact of characteristic earthquakes in northern Algeria (abstract; presentation, pdf)
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
0900 - 1045: | Session 4: Predicting increased risks for extreme hazards: earthquakes . Co-Chairs: Gero Michel and Rui Pinho |
0900 - 0930: | Invited Alik Ismail-Zadeh: Modeling and Predicting Extreme Seismic Events (Abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
0930 - 0950: | Álvaro González: Empirical forecasts of the occurrence of earthquakes in space (Abstract, ; video) |
0950 - 1010: | Suleyman Sami Nalbant: Long-term stress modelling: Implications for large earthquake forecasting (Abstract; video) |
1015 - 1045: | Discussion: Towards a time-variable view on probability? See Questions/Statements. |
1115 - 1300: | Session 5: Predicting increased risks for extreme hazards: volcanoes and landslides. Co-Chairs: Brian Mc Adoo and Carl B. Harbitz |
1115 - 1145: | Invited Roger Urgeles, A. Camerlenghi, F. Palmer: Controls, timing, and characteristics of submarine landslides in the Mediterranean area as an example of science support for preparedness (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
1145 - 1230: | Keynote Dario Tedesco: Analysis and prevention of natural hazards in DRC: A UNOPS Pilot Project (abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
1230 - 1300: | Discussion: How safe are sleeping volcanoes? See Questions/Statements. |
1300 - 1430: | Lunch |
1430 - 1830: | Excursion |
1900 - 2100: | Dinner |
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
0900 - 1045: | Session 6: Knowing the hazards and the potential disasters. Co-Chairs: Ron Harris and Marino Protti |
0900 - 0940: | Paraskevi Nomikou, S. Carey, D. Papanikolaou, K. Croff Bell, D. Sakellariou, M. Alexandri, K. Bejelou: Volcanic Hazard in the Kolumbo Submarine Volcanic Zone NE of Santorini Island (abstract, presentation, pdf; video) |
0940 - 1010: | Efthymios K. Tripsanas, Aristomenis P. Karageorgis, Christos Anagnostou, Vasilis Lykousis, Dimitris Sakelariou: Quaternary volcanic eruptions of the Santorini Island and associated gravity flow deposits in the Cretan Basin, South Aegean Sea (abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
1010 - 1030: | Thomas Oommen: Challenges in Sampling Extreme Events: A Case Study of Probabilistic Earthquake-Induced Liquefaction Hazard Evaluation (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
1030 - 1045: | Discussion: Steps to close the gaps? |
1115 - 1300: | Session 7: Early warnings before and during the event. Co-Chairs: Massimo Cocco and Antonella Peresan |
1115 - 1200: | Invited Jörn Lauterjung: Tsunami Early Warning: Some Thoughts and Lessons learned (presentation, ppt; video) |
1200 - 1230: | Marino Protti and Víctor González: An Earthquake Early Warning System For Vulnerable Essential Facilities: The Example of A Potential Implementation for central Costa Rica from a large earthquake in the Nicoya, Seismic Gap (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
1230 - 1300: | Discussion: Steps towards improved early warning |
1430 - 1600: | Session 8: Assessing the disaster: the first few hours. Co-Chairs: Jörn Lauterjung and Dario Tedesco |
1430 - 1500: | Invited Rongjiang Wang: On the Complementary of High-Rate GPS and Strong-Motion Observations: A Case Study on the Near-Field Deformation Data for the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
1500 - 1600: | Panel Discussion: Improving rapid disaster assessments. Participants: Brian McAdoo, Robert Muir-Wood, Jane Rovins, Seth Stein, Rongjiang Wang |
1630 - 1800: | Session 9: Poster Session. Co-Chairs: Stuart Marsh and Hans-Peter Plag |
| Abd el-aziz Abd el-aal: Updating Seismic Hazard Approach: Application to New Metropolitan Area (Abstract) |
| Olusegun Adeaga: Assessment of Urban Flood hazard in Lagos Mega City (Abstract) |
| Andrei Bala, Alexandru Aldea, Stefan Florin Balan, Cristian Arion: Assessment of the seismic site effects based on earthquake recordings and in situ borehole measurements in Bucharest, Romania (Abstract) |
| Sadou Barry: Etude des risque de catastrophes géologiques dans la zone de transition océan-continent de la République de Guinée (Afrique Occidentale) (Abstract) |
| Nikolai Bobylev: Long-term resilience of Urban Underground Infrastructure and Extreme Geohazards (Abstract) |
| Lucia Căpățînă: Disaster Risk Management a real opportunity for saving lives and costs. Case study: Floods from 2010 in Prut River floodplain (Abstract) |
| Mohan Kumar Das: Tornadic Storms study over Bangladesh: Observed by TRMM, Radar and Simulated by using WRF-ARW Model (Abstract) |
| Ayelet Davidovitch: The implications of climate change on the insurance industry and the Israeli economy (Abstract) |
| Lijun Deng: Rocking shallow foundations to improve bridge performance under earthquake loads (Abstract) |
| Yam Prasad Dhital and Rijan Bhakta Kayastha: Flood Risk Management in Nepal: A review study based on Science, Policy and Community (Abstract) |
| Badara Diagne: Dynamiques climatique et sédimentaire: impacts sur l’évolution des ressources naturelles de coquillages (exemple du village de Dionewar) (Abstract) |
| Bakhtiar Feizizadeh and Thomas Blaschke: GIS-MCDA for landslide hazard zonation mapping (Abstract) |
| Francesca Ferrario, Fabio Brunamonte, Alessandro M. Michetti, Leonello Serva: Late Quaternary environmental catastrophes and landscape evolution in Northern Italy (Abstract) |
| Eric Figueroa: Developing a New Underwriting Strategy Model for Natural Catastrophe Insurance (Abstract) |
| Khatereh Forouhid: Study and comparison of the maximum stress directions and main fault orientations in some active zones in Iran (Abstract) |
| C. Galasso and F. Zareian: Addressing ground motion simulation validation for earthquake engineering applications (Abstract) |
| Rieka Harders, César R. Ranero, Wilhelm Weinrebe: Submarine land sliding on the continental slope off Central America and the influenced of long-term tectonic Erosion (Abstract) |
| Ahmed Abdelhalim Hassan: Rapid development and increasing of Greater Cairo (Egypt) and their environmental implications (Early Warning) (Abstract) |
| Chaminda Hettiarachchi: Managing Disasters: Lessons Learnt from Sri Lankan Experience (Abstract) |
| E. O. Iguisi, D. N. Jeb: Flood risk and vulnerability assessment of Kaduna river, Nigeria (Abstract) |
| Vaughan Ituk: Geographic Information Systems Based Demarcation of Risk Zones: The Case of the Bakassi Local Government Division, Nigeria (Abstract) |
| Muhammad Jahangir: Sequence Stratigraphy and Seismic interpretation of the Seismic Lines of Mianwali (east), Pakistan (Abstract) |
| Prabin Kayastha, M. R. Dhital, and F. De Smedt: Delineation of landslide susceptible zones using spatial based statistical model: a case study from Tinau watershed, west Nepal (Abstract) |
| M. Larara, A. Nedjari, M. Meghraoui: Evidence of paleotsunami deposit in recent sediments of Algiers (Kaddous area) (Abstract) |
| C. Loupasakis and D. Rozos: Geohazards in Greece - Extreme Landslides and Extensive Land Subsidence Phenomena (Abstract) |
| Md. Sultan Mahmud: Developing a GIS Based Decision Support System for Disaster Risk Assessment: A Study on South-West Coastal Region in Bangladesh (Abstract) |
| Tetiana Maliarenko: Crisis Management and Disaster Risk Reduction: ICT-based Teaching (Abstract) |
| Dmytro Malytskyy: Modeling of seismic waves in layered media and the inversion for the seismic tensor (Abstract) |
| Prince Chinedu Mmom: Assessing the perception, efficacy of indigenous Knowledge and adaptation systems to flood disaster risk in the Niger Delta, Nigeria: implications for Sustainable Geo-hazard management (Abstract) |
| Vahagn Muradyan: Using Geographic Information Systems and Remote Sensing Data for assessing and managing geoecological risk in mountain areas (Abstract) |
| Virender Singh Negi: Managing Flood Hazard: Study of Kosi Flood 2008 in India (Abstract) |
| Levi I. Nwankwo: Assessment of recent flood disasters in Nigeria (Abstract) |
| Joachim Post: On the importance of risk knowledge for an end-to-end Tsunami early warning system (Abstract) |
| Md. Abiar Rahman: Natural resources depletion and geohazards as influenced by manmade and natural activities in the coastal region of Bangladesh (Abstract) |
| Shahriar Rahman: Disaster Risk Reduction through Indigenous Coping Mechanisms: An Experimental Study on Southwestern Coastal Bangladesh (Abstract) |
| C.R. Ranero, R. Urgeles, X. Garcia, V. Sallares, G. Booth-Rea, I. Grevemeyer, M. Jegen, C. Berndt, G. Papadopulos, F. Vallinatos, D. Sakellariou: Hazards in the Aegean: in-Depth Experiment to Study Tectonic Structure and Seismic Activity (Abstract) |
| Nelson Rangel-Buitrago: Classification, distribution and return periods of coastal storms in SW Spanish littoral: first step in a regional-scale vulnerability assessment (Abstract) |
| Günther Sagl: Smart Sensations: Exploring Spatial-Temporal Relationships between Environmental and Human Dynamics (Abstract) |
| S.K. Sharma: Why natural disasters are on the rise: a case study from india (Abstract) |
| A. Smedile, P.M. De Martini, and D. Pantosti: Geological evidence for tsunami of the past: a contribution to the tsunami hazard assessment (Abstract) |
| Sandy Steacy, Matt Gerstenberger, Charles Williams, David Rhoades, and Annemarie Christophersen: Application of Coulomb, statistical, and hybrid Coulomb/statistical models to the Canterbury, New Zealand, earthquake sequence (Abstract) |
| Oladokun Olanrewaju Sulaiman: Safety and environmetal risk and reliability model for inland waterway collistion accident frequency (Abstract) |
| Magdy Torab, Noura Dalal, Nourhan Nour: Large boulders along Alam El Rom rocky beach on the Mediterranean coast of Egypt as evidence for high-energy Waves (Abstract) |
| Devsharan Vermaa, Manas K. Deb, Ninad Bodhankar: Quantitative analysis of inorganic ions in soil employing diffuse reflectance Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (DRS-FTIR) (Abstract) |
| Maria Ioana Vlad: Mapping the effects of natural disasters on urban quality of life; 2005-2010 floods in Romania (Abstract) |
| Sam Wong: ICT-Climate Change-induced geohazards nexus: is gender the missing gap? (Abstract) |
| Ahmed Zegrar: Analysis of Phenomenon of Desertification by using Algerian Satellite Data in the North Algerian Steppe (Abstract) |
| Collapse list of posters... |
Thursday, December 1, 2011
0900 - 1045: | Session 10: Learning from disasters: science support for recovery and preparedness. Co-Chairs: Rongjiang Wang and Sarah Gaines |
0900 - 0920: | M. Khaleghy Rad and S.G. Evans: The reliability of a natural hazard system (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
0920 - 0940: | Anna Vigorito: Natural disasters and cultural heritage: International risk prevention and management strategies (abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
0940 - 1045: | Panel Discussion: obstacles for disaster reduction through informed recovery, or why we don't learn as much as we could from disasters. Participants: Dario Tedesco, Ron Harris, Robert Muir-Wood. See Questions/Statements. |
1115 - 1300: | Session 11: Science support for disaster reduction programs. Co-Chairs: Roger Bilham and Mona Khaleghy Rad |
1115 - 1145: | Invited Antonella Peresan: Seismic Hazard Assessments: current issues and advanced approaches for effective Disaster Reduction (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
1145 - 1215: | Invited Jane Rovins: The Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR) programme (presentation, ppt; video) |
1215 - 1245: | Invited Massimo Cocco: Responsibility and liability of scientists: the case of the L'Aquila earthquake (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
1245 - 1300: | Discussion: the role of science in disaster reduction: can it include a degree of liability? |
1430 - 1600: | Session 12: Building infrastructure in support of disaster reduction. Francesco Gaetani and Robert Missotten |
1430 - 1510: | Invited Rui Pinho: The Global Earthquake Model project: a contribution to disaster risk management and disaster reduction (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
1510 - 1540: | Hans-Peter Plag, Francesco Gaetani, Stuart Marsh: GEOSS: Services Supporting Hazard Assessments and Disaster Reduction (presentation, ppt; video; GEOSS poster) |
1540 - 1610: | Sunitha Kuppuswamy: Information and Communication Technologies for Disaster and Development Communication in India (abstract) |
Friday, December 2, 2011
Last edited 02 December 2016
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